TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Athletics, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Athletics43c197,866$84,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,296.5638043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Angels57c69,771$39,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,769.2822852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels58c57,810$33,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,260.991,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Angels58c15,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,70060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Angels57c11,900$6,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,78316551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Angels57c10,800$6,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,15648254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Angels59c10,518$6,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,185.0621847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Angels57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics42c9,855$4,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,715.760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Angels58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics31c8,178$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.041,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Angels57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Athletics49c5,936$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.3633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Angels57c5,520$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.4634245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Angels70c5,275$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70011345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Angels59c5,250$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.8578445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1321…1f21backed Athletics41c5,120$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Angels57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c5…8ed0backed Athletics41c4,880$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+86.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x083c…3f02backed Angels59c4,240$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Angels59c3,220$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels57c3,205$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.851,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Angels2c2,950$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…341dbacked Angels59c2,545$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Angels58c2,400$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39212247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Athletics43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5811554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels70c2,240$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5681,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics31c2,190$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.4212,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Angels3c1,760$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ae…a897backed Angels58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Angels58c1,437$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.2131254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Athletics42c1,308$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Athletics23c1,299$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2198…d9d4backed Athletics42c1,238$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics79c1,150$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.243,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Angels2c1,100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.665053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels47c1,065$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Angels58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Athletics43c976$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.3257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics43c951.97$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.191,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Angels58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Angels57c759$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6328258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Angels57c722.98$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.120748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Athletics43c663.56$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Angels76c659.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Angels57c619.19$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics28c500$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1743946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Angels57c496.98$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.281,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Athletics52c495$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.617156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe826…83bcbacked Athletics42c486$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Athletics42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Angels63c416.8$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.476456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Athletics43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Angels5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics42c399.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels36c362.27$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.919,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Angels58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054654.9%300 W · 246 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics43c259.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.644,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Angels12c236$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8347745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Athletics42c236$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.951,14146.3%528 W · 613 L+36.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf529…726abacked Athletics43c232.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.55887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Angels58c231.03$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Athletics43c224.4$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.911,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Angels58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11617243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc73d…0208backed Athletics43c195.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+70.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels65c191.59$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.232,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Athletics43c186$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0224346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics50c173.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.321,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Athletics58c172.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9210952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Angels58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1148…dc44backed Angels58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Athletics43c167.44$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.444856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe208…2b30backed Athletics43c167.44$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…504ebacked Athletics43c160.46$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.46875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Angels41c159.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdb…8aabbacked Angels57c136.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661a…e2babacked Angels57c136.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Athletics38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5823248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ac7…a2f7backed Angels57c128.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4dd…19fcbacked Angels57c122.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0022…66dabacked Angels57c117.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick56cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Athletics43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2840144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9053…cc67backed Angels57c115.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ea…f31cbacked Athletics45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112737%10 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Athletics27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7345732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Athletics28c99.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.957035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Angels30c93.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Angels57c87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.591,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b70…788bbacked Angels58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels58c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.282,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Athletics54c62.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7412258.2%71 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Athletics51c58.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.469639.6%38 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…7c1dbacked Angels58c56.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Angels58c54.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5414146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab11…1350backed Angels58c53.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Angels57c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.529145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics43c45.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.