MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4009a2175ab873c81598cff48e1973fcfab00bad7dc6253c44992b87dc005163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Mets, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,403,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,422,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,403,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 52c | 854,104$446,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407,232.18 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Mets | 48c | 524,035$251,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251,536.73 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Mets | 47c | 143,438$67,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,415.86 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Cubs | 52c | 73,941$38,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,491.72 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 47c | 70,000$32,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,900 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Cubs | 52c | 60,234$31,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,912.32 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Mets | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,799.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 48c | 33,270$15,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,942.84 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 52c | 31,499$16,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,119.29 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Mets | 48c | 25,711$12,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,274.25 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 48c | 22,482$10,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,791.36 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mets | 47c | 22,222$10,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.32 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cubs | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 56c | 20,898$11,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,261.85 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Mets | 0c | 20,654$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mets | 47c | 20,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Mets | 49c | 19,200$9,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,353.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 52c | 17,779$9,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,533.81 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 48c | 17,777$8,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,532.95 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cubs | 52c | 13,152$6,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,312.96 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 48c | 10,812$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.76 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cubs | 52c | 10,749$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.06 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mets | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 62c | 9,000$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Cubs | 54c | 8,540$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954.08 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Cubs | 53c | 6,788$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.23 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 51c | 6,736$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.88 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 2c | 5,919$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 48c | 4,686$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.28 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mets | 1c | 4,026$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Cubs | 53c | 3,962$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 48c | 3,835$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.8 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 48c | 3,670$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cubs | 54c | 3,400$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 48c | 3,335$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 51c | 3,200$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.78 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Mets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Cubs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.97 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Mets | 8c | 2,481$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…1185backed Mets | 49c | 2,071$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…20e2backed Cubs | 52c | 2,070$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 11c | 1,948$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 6c | 1,570$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 49c | 1,501$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mets | 46c | 1,500$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.76 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cubs | 52c | 1,423$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.04 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Mets | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mets | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mets | 7c | 1,338$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 46c | 1,282$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.5 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 52c | 1,213$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.94 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Mets | 35c | 1,147$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 1c | 1,012$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Mets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 31c | 999.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mets | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mets | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mets | 50c | 798.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Mets | 49c | 795.59$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cubs | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Mets | 5c | 661.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cubs | 70c | 582.28$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Cubs | 52c | 577$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Mets | 45c | 527.14$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Mets | 48c | 505.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 47c | 500.7$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.33 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs | 70c | 492.07$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cubs | 51c | 490.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cubs | 52c | 449.14$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Mets | 51c | 431.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Cubs | 52c | 419.08$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Cubs | 52c | 411.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.49 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cubs | 72c | 402.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Mets | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Mets | 5c | 399.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cubs | 52c | 370$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Mets | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mets | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mets | 10c | 297$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 52c | 283$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 8c | 263.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Cubs | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…1275backed Cubs | 53c | 233.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mets | 47c | 232.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee79…b606backed Mets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…c777backed Mets | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…6eb3backed Cubs | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Mets | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Cubs | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Cubsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.