TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$614,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$558,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers41c152,497$62,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,025.9338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Mets65c75,500$48,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,937.8411345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Rangers41c68,118$27,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,189.869440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Mets59c61,328$36,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,183.2844456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets59c50,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,50048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mets23c45,518$10,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,469.1838751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets52c36,361$19,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,040.061,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers32c32,441$10,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,065.322,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Mets57c29,855$16,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,915.4221847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets59c28,163$16,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,616.1763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers41c25,000$10,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,75026949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers26c24,229$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,929.361,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Mets51c12,783$6,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,546.7213946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Mets59c11,000$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4902245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Mets59c7,320$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,318.812247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers40c6,742$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.751,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets59c6,225$3,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,672.7535952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4097…4559backed Rangers54c5,071$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Rangers41c5,007$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.132958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Rangers41c4,575$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.359135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers36c4,098$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.989,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers35c3,951$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.044,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaae…8a95backed Mets59c3,603$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.722166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets59c2,966$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7502,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers33c2,689$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.8612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Rangers31c2,447$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.424057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers41c2,195$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.1295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rangers42c2,136$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.7157744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Rangers35c1,938$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.53850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers38c1,827$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.616,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mets58c1,738$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.8673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers37c1,514$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.1578445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Mets59c1,422$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.0124253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Rangers41c1,279$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.174436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rangers41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mets59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59022142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Mets8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers41c999.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Mets59c982$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.3820748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Mets59c976.76$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.574452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Rangers41c964.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.2965248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Rangers42c953$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.7417045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers42c952$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.161,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mets63c951.83$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6512248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rangers39c840$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.426650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Rangers32c803.59$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.4414055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers41c700.22$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.083,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Rangers44c685.76$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.267035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Rangers15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6743153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets59c609.95$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.871,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets58c550$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3191,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rangers41c544.32$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.151,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rangers40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Rangers40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers40c499.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.491,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rangers41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.856351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mets52c480$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Rangers42c477$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6617946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Mets42c474.17$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2660052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers37c418.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3370841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets58c403.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.311,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Rangers41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23611257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers34c390.19$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers17c379.69$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.066,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rangers23c340$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26217930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…59e4backed Mets60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers39c332$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers42c328.57$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5770946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Rangers34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1986152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Rangers41c294.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1613740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Rangers42c261.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.97443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rangers39c258.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.971,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers46c250$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8347745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mets59c233.9$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13899951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…9133backed Mets60c233.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Mets57c230.7$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.56544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Rangers14c214.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.296747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Rangers31c208.95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9557545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7845…1730backed Mets59c203.37$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Rangers47c202.82$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9428949.1%142 W · 147 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rangers37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12640352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x245f…b6d7backed Mets59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc805…e5dbbacked Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcff…0e58backed Mets59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185048%24 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0f…f1dcbacked Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d3…6f65backed Mets59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…18cfbacked Mets59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0957…502ebacked Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcd…8364backed Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dd…05fabacked Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4463…7565backed Mets59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ade…3223backed Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3070…218cbacked Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18fa…4a5ebacked Mets59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8b…716ebacked Mets59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x247e…3a07backed Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.