TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Flames, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19b8…612abacked Flames61c10,193$6,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.874955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e4…b351backed Flames56c10,012$5,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1188…f4adbacked Blackhawks44c10,009$4,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks39c8,783$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.1635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Blackhawks1c7,530$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.592839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Blackhawks22c5,733$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.4831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Blackhawks40c1,645$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.0620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks2c1,387$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.127450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed Blackhawks32c1,377$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Flames61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks43c997.52$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.9254349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blackhawks39c885$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.1575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Flames68c878.71$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1913363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8420…8bb6backed Flames60c799.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.991346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Blackhawks41c799.93$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a88…023dbacked Blackhawks46c657.45$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Blackhawks44c600.03$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.014452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blackhawks34c534.45$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.31,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Blackhawks11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blackhawks40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Flames60c500$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.72466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5bd…17dbbacked Flames55c499.94$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Flames62c443.55$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.554852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Flames60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Flames61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.879861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks43c300.26$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flames54c261.2$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.941,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blackhawks40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Flames60c233.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3312859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee53…8058backed Blackhawks45c224.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3a…f446backed Blackhawks45c224.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d9…8d18backed Flames57c224.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b5…eacdbacked Flames57c224.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…3348backed Flames57c223.86$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5111…01b4backed Blackhawks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Flames58c213.94$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9424945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Blackhawks44c210.88$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Flames61c200.61$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.286654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Flames56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8254…d536backed Blackhawks45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Flames57c174$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Flames60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6715456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfc…dc4dbacked Flames61c163.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Blackhawks39c159.77$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.318537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Blackhawks10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6712…a5f0backed Flames56c143.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1a…a84ebacked Blackhawks45c142.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blackhawks25c134.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames74c131.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Blackhawks39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.748654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60be…2132backed Flames56c114.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35e…5703backed Blackhawks45c114.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d7…c136backed Blackhawks45c114.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae6a…64febacked Flames56c114.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Flames74c112.59$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…d771backed Blackhawks44c109.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd087…9530backed Flames56c109.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d5…03edbacked Blackhawks42c107.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x592e…6b06backed Flames55c106$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5c4…447bbacked Blackhawks47c104.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x876e…2b58backed Blackhawks45c104.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…57f5backed Flames56c104.17$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe384…9b36backed Blackhawks45c104.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0575…30f2backed Flames56c104.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ea…9181backed Blackhawks44c103.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…a378backed Flames57c103.78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Blackhawks39c103$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1758346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blackhawks40c102.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8447249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85cc…ea9ebacked Blackhawks45c102.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cf…0f54backed Flames56c102.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc6…41f7backed Blackhawks45c100.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe79f…6311backed Flames56c100.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2689…0e09backed Flames57c100.52$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5141…be3dbacked Blackhawks45c100.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd436…3bb7backed Blackhawks44c100.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7023…3ab2backed Flames56c100.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Blackhawks12c100.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.091643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a8f9backed Flames56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Blackhawks45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Blackhawks39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.379251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Flames55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc7…ada1backed Blackhawks44c99.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…b3e4backed Flames56c99.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9bf…58e9backed Blackhawks45c98.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x923f…776ebacked Flames56c98.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ae…6a62backed Flames56c96.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9395…88e1backed Blackhawks45c96.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9927…e55fbacked Blackhawks44c95.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e5…b389backed Flames56c95.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d1…dacbbacked Blackhawks45c95.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7825…8a3bbacked Flames56c95.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b8…ce1fbacked Blackhawks44c94.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…5ed0backed Flames57c94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7269…7540backed Blackhawks45c93.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9630backed Flames56c93.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c02…6355backed Blackhawks45c90.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9a…0f44backed Flames56c90.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09a1…8ffebacked Flames56c90.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.