NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe48dbc96cafd2333dd19a64d22d4b0e66702d739d6487ff18ac9b3bb7c537d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Utah, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Avalanche | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Utah | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,249.97 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Utah | 37c | 21,724$8,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,037.91 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 37c | 8,750$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.47 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 9c | 7,750$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.73 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Utah | 30c | 7,001$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.46 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 63c | 6,933$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Utah | 37c | 6,894$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.78 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Utah | 7c | 5,314$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.26 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 5,222$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Utah | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Utah | 38c | 4,165$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.84 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Utah | 38c | 3,256$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.45 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche | 61c | 3,233$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.75 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Utah | 37c | 3,006$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Avalanche | 63c | 2,787$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Avalanche | 62c | 2,077$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Utah | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,840$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.41 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…0ca8backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,840$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…c175backed Utah | 38c | 1,840$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Utah | 40c | 1,827$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.53 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 63c | 1,605$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.85 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Avalanche | 63c | 1,321$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.63 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah | 12c | 1,284$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Utah | 38c | 1,162$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.55 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Utah | 24c | 1,062$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.42 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Utah | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Avalanche | 63c | 938.4$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Utah | 19c | 925$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 27c | 751.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Utah | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Utah | 20c | 624.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Avalanche | 62c | 613.16$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Utah | 7c | 600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Utah | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Utah | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah | 29c | 592$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Avalanche | 63c | 562.81$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Utah | 2c | 510$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Utah | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…aa95backed Avalanche | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 33c | 376.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Avalanche | 63c | 357$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Utah | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Avalanche | 66c | 327.16$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Utah | 38c | 326.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Avalanche | 64c | 321$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche | 70c | 304.33$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Utah | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Avalanche | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Utah | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Utah | 30c | 291.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Utah | 36c | 274.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Utah | 37c | 268.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Avalanche | 63c | 249.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Avalanche | 63c | 246.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 245.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Avalanche | 62c | 220.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Utah | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 70c | 198.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Avalanche | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Utah | 38c | 160.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Utah | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Avalanche | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Utah | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Utah | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Utah | 38c | 124.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Utah | 21c | 118.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…4c9bbacked Avalanche | 63c | 115.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Avalanche | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Utah | 36c | 109.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Avalanche | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Utah | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Avalanche | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Utah | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Utah | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Avalanche | 62c | 98.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Utah | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Utah | 37c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Utah | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…7afbbacked Avalanche | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Avalanche | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Utah | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…e422backed Avalanche | 63c | 63.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…7c9abacked Utah | 38c | 56.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…5d32backed Avalanche | 64c | 52.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Utah | 37c | 50.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Utah | 38c | 48.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Avalanche | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…a491backed Avalanche | 63c | 42.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Utah | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…2711backed Utah | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Avalanche | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…0508backed Utah | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…cff6backed Avalanche | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Avalanchethis page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.