TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Michiganof Purdue Boilermakers, Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,383 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Purdue Boilermakers11c33,961$3,567 inLost-$3,566.7368440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Purdue Boilermakers6c24,685$1,481 inLost-$1,481.0952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Purdue Boilermakers5c18,573$947 inLost-$947.3764841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Purdue Boilermakers7c7,441$521 inLost-$520.8475651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Purdue Boilermakers9c7,398$630 inLost-$629.7486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Purdue Boilermakers3c5,974$209 inLost-$209.0840541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Purdue Boilermakers7c5,691$380 inLost-$380.361,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Purdue Boilermakers7c5,680$398 inLost-$397.5819120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Boilermakers6c4,209$255 inLost-$255.2562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Purdue Boilermakers12c3,432$412 inLost-$411.869635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Purdue Boilermakers7c3,010$211 inLost-$210.781847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Purdue Boilermakers8c3,000$240 inLost-$240540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Purdue Boilermakers9c2,250$213 inLost-$213.0134529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Purdue Boilermakers8c2,000$160 inLost-$1601711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Boilermakers3c1,947$67 inLost-$66.5163243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Purdue Boilermakers8c1,251$100 inLost-$1005414.8%8 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Purdue Boilermakers9c1,200$108 inLost-$10847131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Purdue Boilermakers10c982.82$95 inLost-$95.28922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Purdue Boilermakers7c880.85$62 inLost-$61.6622030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Purdue Boilermakers8c649$52 inLost-$51.9221629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Purdue Boilermakers11c550.54$61 inLost-$60.684235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Purdue Boilermakers10c503.4$50 inLost-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Purdue Boilermakers7c300$21 inLost-$214411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Purdue Boilermakers7c285.99$20 inLost-$20.0224436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Purdue Boilermakers7c250$18 inLost-$17.547331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Purdue Boilermakers6c239.03$14 inLost-$14.34806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Purdue Boilermakers10c200$20 inLost-$202835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…ad57backed Purdue Boilermakers7c200$14 inLost-$143941%16 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0b…b4a7backed Purdue Boilermakers11c200$22 inLost-$225639.3%22 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Purdue Boilermakers6c200$12 inLost-$1228032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Purdue Boilermakers7c150$11 inLost-$10.517634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Purdue Boilermakers9c149.99$13 inLost-$13.518416.8%31 W · 153 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e4…b6adbacked Purdue Boilermakers8c126.25$10 inLost-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Purdue Boilermakers8c125$10 inLost-$102540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x980d…985fbacked Purdue Boilermakers11c110.01$12 inLost-$124628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.