College Football · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan: O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7e65951b3d56a1b6217bf80a2075ec791bbd6a2b046c9f1bae777c0a22a0d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3210…458ebacked Over | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…6783backed Under | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…5c7abacked Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…5051backed Under | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…e69ebacked Under | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4539…242abacked Over | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…ff48backed Over | 47c | 1,350$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…1471backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…2e0ebacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…84f4backed Over | 47c | 960$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…4f34backed Under | 53c | 840$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…ea56backed Over | 47c | 830$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…bbf3backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…3112backed Under | 53c | 560$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…1866backed Over | 47c | 520$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…81a2backed Under | 53c | 510$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…0131backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Over | 49c | 152$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan: O/U 49.5this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. MichiganMichigan won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan (-21.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.