NBA · resolved market
Will Carter Bryant win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7667feb07f5389f894fd4ea46e5a52461f3a2fcd11a5acf8fb56a53d6f05e54b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 34c | 10,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 9,289$6,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.92 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 61c | 4,593$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.49 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,092$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed No | 66c | 2,776$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.95 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 65c | 2,697$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 64c | 2,448$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.46 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 2,313$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.72 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…71c9backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,324$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 44c | 1,107$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 63c | 1,018$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.08 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 35c | 899.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…bbf7backed Yes | 35c | 821.59$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…1770backed Yes | 34c | 738.82$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 57c | 717.57$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Yes | 31c | 644.68$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…6f75backed Yes | 37c | 546.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked No | 63c | 545$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 54c | 489.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 10c | 484.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…fc4cbacked No | 64c | 465.48$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 63c | 427.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 65c | 420$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 36c | 343.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 36c | 327.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 69c | 322.57$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Yes | 20c | 301.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 13cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…c986backed No | 56c | 294$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Yes | 57c | 283.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…e950backed Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 39c | 256.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 43c | 251.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 65c | 243.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Yes | 60c | 217.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked No | 68c | 201.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…deeebacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Yes | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 61c | 195$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 282 | 49.6%140 W · 142 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 64c | 180.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…ce8bbacked Yes | 36c | 170.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…843bbacked Yes | 41c | 169.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 43c | 153.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…61abbacked Yes | 34c | 148.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed No | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Yes | 36c | 138.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed No | 63c | 124.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…f6debacked Yes | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…d3a1backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 72c | 99.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…bc8dbacked Yes | 37c | 92.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 53c | 91.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…60eebacked Yes | 48c | 74.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed No | 66c | 70.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 98 | 74.5%73 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…c2e4backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…9cbdbacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 41c | 62.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Yes | 35c | 61.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Yes | 36c | 60.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked No | 66c | 59.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Yes | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Yes | 36c | 56.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 44.3%133 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567c…245abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 56c | 50.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…b675backed No | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Yes | 36c | 42.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 29c | 41.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 36c | 41.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 68c | 37.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 34.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…f655backed Yes | 32c | 31.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…7d99backed Yes | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 468 | 26.5%124 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 37c | 30.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 68c | 30.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…8ad2backed Yes | 42c | 26.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carter Bryant win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?this page
- Will Jase Richardson win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?No won
- Will Jaxson Hayes win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?No won
- Will Keshad Johnson win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.