College Football · resolved market
South Alabama vs. Troy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a0427409b85bf7d2c1311347422719c9ff20133ac0931975bd273471526632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troyof South Alabama, Troy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked South Alabama | 51c | 26,930$13,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,817.25 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Troy | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed South Alabama | 52c | 5,968$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.3 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Troy | 46c | 5,240$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.43 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked South Alabama | 49c | 5,035$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.99 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Troy | 51c | 4,250$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.87 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Troy | 51c | 3,931$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.43 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked South Alabama | 29c | 1,500$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Troy | 49c | 1,500$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Troy | 49c | 1,492$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.02 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Troy | 51c | 1,365$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.26 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed South Alabama | 46c | 1,286$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.72 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Troy | 63c | 1,251$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed South Alabama | 50c | 1,241$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.43 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed South Alabama | 37c | 1,214$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.2 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Troy | 49c | 1,196$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.47 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Troy | 49c | 1,129$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.79 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Troy | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Troy | 51c | 976.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.3 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Troy | 48c | 890$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.8 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked South Alabama | 30c | 847.29$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Troy | 64c | 799.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed South Alabama | 46c | 793.41$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.97 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Troy | 77c | 743.31$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked South Alabama | 54c | 720$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.8 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Troy | 46c | 690$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed South Alabama | 50c | 610$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Troy | 49c | 600$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Troy | 52c | 482.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed South Alabama | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Troy | 48c | 358.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Troy | 49c | 295$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Troy | 41c | 265.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Troy | 69c | 247$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Troy | 45c | 242.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed South Alabama | 53c | 234.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…35dcbacked Troy | 53c | 226.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Troy | 49c | 215$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Troy | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Troy | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed South Alabama | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Troy | 67c | 148.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked South Alabama | 51c | 147.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Alabama | 33c | 132.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed South Alabama | 51c | 112.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Troy | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked South Alabama | 54c | 100.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed South Alabama | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Troy | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…dfaebacked Troy | 76c | 92.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed South Alabama | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…d5f1backed Troy | 72c | 61.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…f6adbacked Troy | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Troy | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Troy | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Troy | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed South Alabama | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Troy | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked South Alabama | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Troy | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked South Alabama | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Alabama | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…5792backed Troy | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.