Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Longhorns vs. Connecticut Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e77c6452cda3ac8000075f75b651b0c921436002e7a9fafa97b31ac1083d7f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Huskiesof Texas Longhorns, Connecticut Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Longhorns | 10c | 2,710$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texas Longhorns | 10c | 2,618$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.81 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas Longhorns | 11c | 2,156$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…90a1backed Texas Longhorns | 4c | 1,730$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Texas Longhorns | 6c | 1,314$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Texas Longhorns | 11c | 1,313$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Texas Longhorns | 16c | 1,249$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas Longhorns | 11c | 1,227$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Texas Longhorns | 13c | 1,099$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Longhorns | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Texas Longhorns | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Texas Longhorns | 10c | 543.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Texas Longhorns | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Texas Longhorns | 4c | 389.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Longhorns | 10c | 381.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Texas Longhorns | 8c | 318.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Texas Longhorns | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Longhorns | 8c | 218.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0d11backed Texas Longhorns | 14c | 195.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Texas Longhorns | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Texas Longhorns | 11c | 155.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed Texas Longhorns | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Texas Longhorns | 14c | 99.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.