Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. Santa Clara Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05e9688b57c10d29b4d9e9a46ca971afeff8ef81864c12c3d2278906910f0a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santa Clara Broncosof Pepperdine Waves, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Pepperdine Waves | 11c | 5,852$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pepperdine Waves | 6c | 4,182$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pepperdine Waves | 5c | 1,393$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4c58backed Pepperdine Waves | 6c | 1,251$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Pepperdine Waves | 6c | 1,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 11c | 728$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Pepperdine Waves | 5c | 344.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…85a2backed Pepperdine Waves | 7c | 269.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 9c | 161.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.