Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCLA Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4cc82e079a9aaf412170625e689665a89f2b768765b28e59e42bd2910dd079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof Arizona State Sun Devils, UCLA Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 6c | 92,842$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 18c | 38,278$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900.49 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 0c | 26,107$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 7c | 15,321$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0d11backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 9c | 3,393$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 2c | 2,258$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 11c | 2,066$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 20c | 1,014$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UCLA Bruins | 80c | 989.62$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 18c | 977.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 19c | 812.35$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…be5bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 13c | 796.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 10c | 630.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins | 80c | 594.55$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 18c | 561.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…45c8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UCLA Bruins | 80c | 485.69$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 15c | 439.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 12c | 399.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 7c | 305.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCLA Bruins | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 14c | 242.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 13c | 233.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 7c | 206.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…e9fabacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 13c | 173$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…81abbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 6c | 162.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 12c | 143$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 12c | 133$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 20c | 125.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…4775backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 14c | 105.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 12c | 103.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UCLA Bruins | 80c | 100.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…7605backed UCLA Bruins | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 19c | 52.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.