TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenix

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Drexel Dragonsof Drexel Dragons, Elon Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x161a…4103backed Elon Phoenix31c2,645$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.732,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Elon Phoenix20c1,655$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.83,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Elon Phoenix61c1,284$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.1715851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Drexel Dragons39c1,154$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.8556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Elon Phoenix17c1,127$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.678817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Elon Phoenix50c673.83$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.162,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix35c598.31$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.11,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Drexel Dragons66c458.81$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.483,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Elon Phoenix27c409.3$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.281,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Drexel Dragons68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.311,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed Drexel Dragons53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Drexel Dragons70c375.17$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.891553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Elon Phoenix6c347.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Drexel Dragons68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.129769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Elon Phoenix34c293.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005832.8%19 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Drexel Dragons62c279.24$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.141,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Drexel Dragons66c276.5$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.85,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Elon Phoenix28c261.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Drexel Dragons62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Elon Phoenix27c249.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.413,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Drexel Dragons67c244.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Drexel Dragons66c244.53$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Drexel Dragons72c228.35$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.942360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Drexel Dragons70c223$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Drexel Dragons56c222.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.65,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Elon Phoenix38c213.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8115733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Drexel Dragons72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5610447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Drexel Dragons63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7414151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Elon Phoenix34c186.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3513350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Elon Phoenix36c178.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1110846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Elon Phoenix67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Drexel Dragons65c149.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.281,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c0…e43ebacked Drexel Dragons74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Drexel Dragons46c124.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Elon Phoenix33c115.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2630945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Elon Phoenix32c102.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5313651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Drexel Dragons39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6114553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Drexel Dragons33c99.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.982,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5459…3830backed Drexel Dragons72c88.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Elon Phoenix64c78.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed Drexel Dragons64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980d…985fbacked Drexel Dragons72c69.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Drexel Dragons44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.188737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7e…50aabacked Elon Phoenix67c66.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Drexel Dragons33c63.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7327048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Drexel Dragons33c60.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8621443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6e…db70backed Elon Phoenix33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Drexel Dragons36c57.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Elon Phoenix26c57.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Elon Phoenix32c53.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.095637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Drexel Dragons72c50.21$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Elon Phoenix37c41.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Drexel Dragons38c41.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Elon Phoenix50c39.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Drexel Dragons67c38.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.554,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed Drexel Dragons80c38.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Drexel Dragons53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.749153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Drexel Dragons54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0418167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Drexel Dragons36c36.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.441,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Elon Phoenix58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Drexel Dragons48c33.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3119138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x818b…ea84backed Elon Phoenix67c30.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Elon Phoenix54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.257655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Drexel Dragons50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x941b…530dbacked Elon Phoenix67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1d…fc19backed Drexel Dragons72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001f…4c4abacked Drexel Dragons74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Drexel Dragons59c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.991,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65eb…2c83backed Drexel Dragons70c24.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.453100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Elon Phoenix64c21.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Elon Phoenix58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Elon Phoenix65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Elon Phoenix62c19.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Drexel Dragons70c17.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.396459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…2e40backed Drexel Dragons80c12.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.