TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x941b…530d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$10.95
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$14.74
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma: Jacopo Vasami vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Split: Tom Gentzsch vs Filippo Romanobacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.