Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61eae725e7e10d3b9551e2f245b75b972a2ec973e7ed102b2c3c411625b682c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 47c | 41,950$19,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,276.1 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 35,839$18,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,847.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 47c | 14,968$7,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,907.85 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 47c | 10,592$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.08 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 54c | 9,310$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.58 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 69c | 7,419$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.78 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,987$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.4 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 47c | 638.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.79 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 634$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.68 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 614$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.42 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 446.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 47c | 258.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Over | 49c | 204.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 187.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 54c | 174.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Under | 53c | 104.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 47c | 86.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 57.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 48c | 55.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Over | 48c | 52.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 53c | 47.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Over | 49c | 40.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 54c | 40.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Over | 50c | 37.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 53c | 25.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…d2b9backed Under | 56c | 24.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 54c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 139.5this page
- Drexel Dragons vs. Elon PhoenixDrexel Dragons won
- Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 137.5Over won
- Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-4.5)Drexel Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.