MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be5efec2ea7ceabbba8b85f342ed1310745ffeefbd6cf36f3e5305721fd8fbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Tigers, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Tigers | 71c | 50,317$35,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,740.49 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 32c | 34,468$10,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,566.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.98 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers | 47c | 18,600$8,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,742 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tigers | 41c | 12,961$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.17 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers | 47c | 10,030$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.1 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Red Sox | 53c | 9,700$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Tigers | 30c | 9,532$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.52 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Red Sox | 19c | 5,404$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.62 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 4,851$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.97 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 16c | 4,789$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Red Sox | 52c | 3,428$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.44 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 53c | 2,832$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.69 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 47c | 2,468$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.96 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Tigers | 47c | 1,986$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.5 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 47c | 1,874$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Red Sox | 33c | 1,870$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.55 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 29c | 1,827$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.41 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,790$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.6 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 24c | 1,465$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Tigers | 47c | 1,256$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,127$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.9 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Tigers | 48c | 1,046$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tigers | 73c | 1,046$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.64 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.11 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…be63backed Red Sox | 46c | 1,000$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 46c | 999.88$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Tigers | 47c | 993.62$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 911.59$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Tigers | 47c | 899.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Tigers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Tigers | 64c | 799.24$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.41 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Red Sox | 57c | 768.42$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.87 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 39c | 764.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers | 46c | 755$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 44c | 732.08$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Red Sox | 53c | 730.56$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 49c | 696$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.41 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Tigers | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Tigers | 79c | 658.96$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 37c | 644.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 53c | 600$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.32 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 46c | 499.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Tigers | 73c | 490$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Tigers | 48c | 466.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…1b69backed Tigers | 48c | 443.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 51c | 433$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tigers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 10c | 415$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Red Sox | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Red Sox | 55c | 363.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Sox | 24c | 354.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…9081backed Red Sox | 53c | 354$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Tigers | 59c | 341.87$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…042cbacked Tigers | 6c | 335.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Red Sox | 17c | 329.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.41 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 307.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tigers | 46c | 297.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 285.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 39c | 277.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 15c | 266$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Red Sox | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tigers | 77c | 253.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed Tigers | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 53c | 249.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…fa8fbacked Tigers | 48c | 245$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…19b7backed Red Sox | 54c | 242.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Tigers | 61c | 219.11$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Tigers | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Tigers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Tigers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Red Soxthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.