UFC · resolved market
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea80d698b87967427287ce261013115888fba0a814a47b6fc622baa744798079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gautierof Pulyaev, Gautier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pulyaev | 11c | 54,952$6,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,044.73 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Pulyaev | 12c | 25,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Pulyaev | 11c | 23,358$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pulyaev | 9c | 23,067$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.01 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Pulyaev | 12c | 20,311$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.87 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pulyaev | 11c | 19,744$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.39 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Pulyaev | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pulyaev | 11c | 12,559$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.45 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Pulyaev | 14c | 10,281$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.41 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pulyaev | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pulyaev | 1c | 9,721$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Pulyaev | 10c | 7,562$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.72 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pulyaev | 5c | 6,047$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.14 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pulyaev | 14c | 6,042$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.94 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pulyaev | 13c | 4,990$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.75 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pulyaev | 10c | 4,405$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Pulyaev | 16c | 4,205$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.81 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Pulyaev | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Pulyaev | 14c | 3,783$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.97 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pulyaev | 12c | 3,651$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.62 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Pulyaev | 28c | 3,164$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.12 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pulyaev | 12c | 3,117$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.16 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Pulyaev | 7c | 3,089$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.27 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pulyaev | 11c | 2,060$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.09 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Pulyaev | 11c | 2,052$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Pulyaev | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Pulyaev | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Pulyaev | 12c | 1,983$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pulyaev | 14c | 1,865$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Pulyaev | 12c | 1,858$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pulyaev | 12c | 1,833$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pulyaev | 16c | 1,500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Pulyaev | 12c | 1,450$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Pulyaev | 12c | 1,300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Pulyaev | 15c | 1,249$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Pulyaev | 28c | 1,224$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026f…f44fbacked Pulyaev | 3c | 1,119$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Pulyaev | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Pulyaev | 6c | 997.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Pulyaev | 14c | 974.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Pulyaev | 12c | 910$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Pulyaev | 23c | 878.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Pulyaev | 5c | 865.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…dc0fbacked Pulyaev | 12c | 815.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pulyaev | 5c | 630.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Pulyaev | 8c | 619.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 45cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Pulyaev | 9c | 556.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Pulyaev | 12c | 536.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Pulyaev | 24c | 523$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Gautier | 77c | 501.33$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Pulyaev | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Pulyaev | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…0298backed Pulyaev | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Pulyaev | 15c | 496.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Pulyaev | 12c | 488.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…f1eabacked Pulyaev | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Pulyaev | 20c | 365.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…0fecbacked Pulyaev | 11c | 350$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…c1d1backed Gautier | 76c | 346.33$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Pulyaev | 13c | 309.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Pulyaev | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pulyaev | 25c | 304.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…8860backed Pulyaev | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Pulyaev | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Pulyaev | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Gautier | 78c | 283.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Pulyaev | 27c | 281.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a1…aa21backed Gautier | 79c | 269.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Pulyaev | 37c | 269.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e8…cdd7backed Pulyaev | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Gautier | 75c | 267.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Pulyaev | 12c | 264$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Pulyaev | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Pulyaev | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Pulyaev | 5c | 236.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pulyaev | 32c | 224.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Pulyaev | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Pulyaev | 18c | 215.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…e70fbacked Pulyaev | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9a…7beabacked Pulyaev | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…99dabacked Pulyaev | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pulyaev | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Pulyaev | 27c | 186.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…a808backed Pulyaev | 13c | 176.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…e809backed Pulyaev | 6c | 173.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Pulyaev | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Pulyaev | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…f3febacked Pulyaev | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked Pulyaev | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…8fe6backed Pulyaev | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…b1fdbacked Pulyaev | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Pulyaev | 8c | 165$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…6b63backed Pulyaev | 10c | 160.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Pulyaev | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Pulyaev | 17c | 158.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Pulyaev | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…114cbacked Pulyaev | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Pulyaev | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Pulyaev | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pulyaev | 12c | 148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Ateba Gautier win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.