TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gautierof Pulyaev, Gautier
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$505,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$610,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Pulyaev11c54,952$6,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,044.7335253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Pulyaev12c25,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Pulyaev11c23,358$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pulyaev9c23,067$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.012425%6 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef38…ae8cbacked Pulyaev12c20,311$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.876453.1%34 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Pulyaev11c19,744$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.397245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Pulyaev12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pulyaev11c12,559$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.457233.3%24 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Pulyaev14c10,281$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.415540%22 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pulyaev12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20030039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pulyaev1c9,721$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2118145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pulyaev10c7,562$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.7226743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pulyaev5c6,047$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.143625%9 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pulyaev14c6,042$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9435826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pulyaev13c4,990$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.754337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pulyaev10c4,405$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.120139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Pulyaev16c4,205$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.8190553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Pulyaev12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48015641%64 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Pulyaev14c3,783$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.973534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pulyaev12c3,651$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.626738.8%26 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Pulyaev28c3,164$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.1213650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pulyaev12c3,117$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.167528%21 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Pulyaev7c3,089$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.273737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pulyaev11c2,060$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0933132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Pulyaev11c2,052$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pulyaev11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013735.8%49 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Pulyaev13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Pulyaev12c1,983$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.983860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pulyaev14c1,865$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.251526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Pulyaev12c1,858$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3719531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pulyaev12c1,833$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pulyaev16c1,500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358650%43 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a66…9051backed Pulyaev12c1,450$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Pulyaev12c1,300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Pulyaev15c1,249$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.141353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Pulyaev28c1,224$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.451323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026f…f44fbacked Pulyaev3c1,119$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Pulyaev12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Pulyaev6c997.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7152252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Pulyaev14c974.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.414237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Pulyaev12c910$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.210270.6%72 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Pulyaev23c878.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Pulyaev5c865.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca46…dc0fbacked Pulyaev12c815.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pulyaev5c630.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2919418.6%36 W · 158 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Pulyaev8c619.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick45cpaid-83.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Pulyaev9c556.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Pulyaev12c536.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Pulyaev24c523$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.361040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Gautier77c501.33$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0227448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Pulyaev23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Pulyaev13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x701b…0298backed Pulyaev4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Pulyaev15c496.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1720933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Pulyaev12c488.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…f1eabacked Pulyaev13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Pulyaev20c365.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f0…0fecbacked Pulyaev11c350$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ca…c1d1backed Gautier76c346.33$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.771850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Pulyaev13c309.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.36451.6%33 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15cc…bfaabacked Pulyaev13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Pulyaev25c304.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.022832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…8860backed Pulyaev15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Pulyaev9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Pulyaev12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610843.5%47 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4045…3307backed Gautier78c283.81$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.314852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x603e…43febacked Pulyaev27c281.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.161553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a1…aa21backed Gautier79c269.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Pulyaev37c269.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e8…cdd7backed Pulyaev13c269.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Gautier75c267.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.279450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b34…b5b5backed Pulyaev12c264$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.684560%27 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Pulyaev12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Pulyaev12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Pulyaev5c236.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pulyaev32c224.56$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.868950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa660…f81abacked Pulyaev14c220$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Pulyaev18c215.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d83…e70fbacked Pulyaev14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d9a…7beabacked Pulyaev10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28be…99dabacked Pulyaev15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Pulyaev15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307921.5%17 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Pulyaev27c186.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506159%36 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6159…a808backed Pulyaev13c176.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ce0…e809backed Pulyaev6c173.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Pulyaev13c170$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Pulyaev12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b16…f3febacked Pulyaev12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfee…64bbbacked Pulyaev12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206040%24 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6c…8fe6backed Pulyaev12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c1b…b1fdbacked Pulyaev12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e99fbacked Pulyaev8c165$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad9…6b63backed Pulyaev10c160.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.822433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x714c…f68dbacked Pulyaev12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Pulyaev17c158.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Pulyaev13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d30…114cbacked Pulyaev13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Pulyaev13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.514827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Pulyaev9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57154.9%39 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Pulyaev12c148$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.762236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.