MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5798b53375217bc27255f740e48d4d2ea0ccfbd1c7593d62b167a528573fe98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7caa…e1c4backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 3,436$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 2,199$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.44 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 37c | 1,386$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.76 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 13c | 1,345$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 1,339$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.42 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed SSG Landers | 36c | 1,205$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.8 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 1,195$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SSG Landers | 37c | 899.97$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.99 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 7c | 507.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked SSG Landers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 39c | 390.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 36c | 389$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SSG Landers | 25c | 356.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 5c | 314.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed SSG Landers | 37c | 303.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked SSG Landers | 36c | 272.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 38c | 270.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed SSG Landers | 37c | 253.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed SSG Landers | 39c | 240$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 32c | 214.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 195$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked SSG Landers | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed SSG Landers | 38c | 136.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 13c | 123.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 43c | 114.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed SSG Landers | 37c | 101.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 89.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 85.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 66.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 57.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 50.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked SSG Landers | 38c | 40.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed SSG Landers | 41c | 39.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed SSG Landers | 42c | 35.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed SSG Landers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Samsung Lions | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed SSG Landers | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…2ad6backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Samsung Lions | 74c | 22.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 21.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.