MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26fc89ade7b34c0abe22e6411bac78041fad5662c4a0656a0d3d8ac43fc86fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 3c | 1,473$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed LG Twins | 41c | 749.79$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.41 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 44c | 571.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed LG Twins | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 511.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 395.07$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 3c | 392.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked LG Twins | 14c | 369.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 359.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 340.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…cba4backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 340.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 31c | 225.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 205.35$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LG Twins | 43c | 197.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed LG Twins | 44c | 149.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LG Twins | 11c | 136.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 123$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed LG Twins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 115.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 42c | 115.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…de2ebacked LG Twins | 44c | 114.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked LG Twins | 21c | 97.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 19c | 91.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 77.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 69.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed LG Twins | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 57.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 57.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked LG Twins | 22c | 48.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed LG Twins | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 40.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed LG Twins | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LG Twins | 51c | 39.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Samsung Lions | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked LG Twins | 43c | 34.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 33.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed LG Twins | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Samsung Lions | 76c | 26.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…bfedbacked LG Twins | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed LG Twins | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked LG Twins | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…edbdbacked LG Twins | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…25d3backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked LG Twins | 43c | 24.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 24.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…393cbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…5940backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…2baabacked LG Twins | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…78debacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf8…5414backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…9c6dbacked LG Twins | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…92edbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…f4a3backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…0ef6backed LG Twins | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…6fdabacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Samsung Lions | 77c | 16.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.