TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Girona win on 2025-10-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No34c30,000$10,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,05017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c14,236$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,556.144,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes67c10,465$7,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.357762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes67c8,276$5,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.337445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c3,564$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.173,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No62c3,007$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.3414244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes38c1,512$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.5427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes38c1,501$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.612551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes70c1,013$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes67c866.67$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes74c738.12$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No27c699.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1888142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes38c646.55$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.986434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002055%11 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No35c605.51$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce2…5d4ebacked Yes79c564.65$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked No59c543.49$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes56c502.57$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8327453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Yes67c447.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.25540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes70c432.74$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8829038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No61c400$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24221355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes66c367.36$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No60c333.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No59c309.53$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf257…238ebacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c265$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7137039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No60c253$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.84845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No58c240.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No60c223.3$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3615750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes27c222.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.221030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d27…c460backed Yes40c214$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.261030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes76c211.63$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.888858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7d…230fbacked No36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes38c135$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.78939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No59c135$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.654348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No58c103.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9910956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No24c99.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.77777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e3…b3a4backed No33c93.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes41c80.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No46c76.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No62c76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.122744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No30c73.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No60c73.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd307…f2b5backed Yes73c72.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.212251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.447072.9%51 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66e…3430backed Yes67c62.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No30c52.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8129545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes68c52.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.873053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes40c50.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b3…2beabacked No62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.516139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…afa6backed No62c46.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ed…e223backed Yes41c38.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7443…3c3cbacked Yes39c35.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+122.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee99…b0aebacked No60c32.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes41c31.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a0…e197backed No60c31.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.419461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d96…fbe2backed Yes39c27.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b5…2ebbbacked No62c26.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ac…33b2backed No60c26.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b17…1713backed No54c26.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7517744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fbb…1794backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes41c24.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.744126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5eb…b3ecbacked Yes41c24.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…5ef6backed Yes73c17.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.