La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona vs. Valencia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4151fc2c4c3b45ba897929c4b61235e1018251d5efd0a7d4f5660bf284ba06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 31c | 3,243$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 36c | 1,953$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.38 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…583abacked No | 72c | 1,690$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,655$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 70c | 1,273$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.91 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 30c | 1,249$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,243$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 731.96$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.91 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 25c | 480.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 454.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 449$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 17c | 444$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 30c | 434.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 35c | 319.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 38c | 305.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 74c | 249.35$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d27…c460backed Yes | 32c | 245.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 8c | 229.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 27c | 214.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 29c | 174.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 17c | 169.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed No | 69c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…a17cbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…3e05backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…feccbacked Yes | 30c | 66.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 21c | 52.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 72c | 32.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No | 76c | 30.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona vs. Valencia end in a draw?this page
- Will Girona win on 2025-10-04?Yes won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.