MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a8480c5203e2dfcca357cc184aa5c91d321f0b2a5c0e78b0253b8cf05a4c52e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Kiwoom Heroes, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 1,375$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 1,288$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.91 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 493.57$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 391.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Samsung Lions | 70c | 213.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 147$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 133.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 114.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 96.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 91.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 86.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 72.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Samsung Lions | 76c | 68.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 68.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 53.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 50.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…bc4dbacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 48.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 41.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 36.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 33.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 33.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 27.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 24.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 22.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 19.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Samsung Lions | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.