Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be3aae7f8b9217abaa26e8a9ef66ee57564c4c2c2c5a0675a434b42248d2548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 46c | 60,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 54c | 30,860$16,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,686.26 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 27,347$14,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,669.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 70c | 5,481$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.14 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 56c | 5,030$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.35 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 55c | 4,219$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.62 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.9 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 3,811$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.02 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 50c | 3,111$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.25 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 32c | 2,980$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.9 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 54c | 2,890$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.92 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 2,713$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.38 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 28c | 2,609$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.27 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 56c | 2,603$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.57 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 44c | 2,247$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 54c | 1,835$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.48 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 44c | 1,666$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.61 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 46c | 1,506$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.44 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 65c | 1,493$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.09 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 42c | 980.37$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 47c | 954.6$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 43c | 929.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 55c | 914.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.34 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 55c | 900$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 27c | 799.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 797.64$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.64 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 789.68$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.43 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 46c | 757.65$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 44c | 734.83$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 18c | 706.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 47c | 638.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.47 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 56c | 554.92$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 46c | 540.66$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 36c | 521.27$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes | 79c | 507.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…a528backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 43c | 499.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 72c | 456.69$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…b832backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 55c | 375.71$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 54c | 323.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 47c | 320.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 53c | 299.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 59c | 280.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…eec9backed Yes | 43c | 268.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 46c | 249.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 52c | 240.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 57c | 233.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 44c | 229.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed No | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 6c | 208.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 47c | 204.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 57c | 184.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 55c | 181.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 43c | 175.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 44c | 159.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 153.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 71c | 141.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 56c | 135$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Yes | 75c | 132.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 44c | 125.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 46c | 121.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 79c | 120.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 43c | 115.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 114.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe8…d8babacked Yes | 44c | 113.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…0cecbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 45c | 111.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…4b3ebacked Yes | 43c | 104.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Yes | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…83fcbacked Yes | 43c | 102.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Feyenoord vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-10-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.