MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd5c322866a353c59a0c744e58687b7807170731b08d8218cbc4206dac6db7b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 816.23$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.35 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 758.14$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.65 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 430$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 314.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 225.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 163.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 161.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 127.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 119.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 18c | 77.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 75.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 65.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 64.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 50.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 46.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 44.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 40.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…b685backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 33.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…b298backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…b3dcbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.