MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a5d18f9cb0a8070f016f08007390c919af5e19b9eb32899aa431b132dfe8e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 5,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.97 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 37c | 3,415$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.53 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed KT Wiz | 37c | 510.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked KT Wiz | 37c | 510.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed KT Wiz | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 364.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed KT Wiz | 48c | 270.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 41c | 241.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 58c | 211.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 23c | 201.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 199.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed KT Wiz | 58c | 180.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 36c | 166.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed KT Wiz | 58c | 153.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 152.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 40c | 148.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed KT Wiz | 56c | 138.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked KT Wiz | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 13c | 117.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 109.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed KT Wiz | 37c | 98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 75.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 74.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked KT Wiz | 34c | 72.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 72.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed KT Wiz | 37c | 71.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 67.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed KT Wiz | 44c | 56.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed KT Wiz | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 53.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 57c | 50.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed KT Wiz | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed KT Wiz | 60c | 39.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337a…b913backed KT Wiz | 34c | 36.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KT Wiz | 37c | 34.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed KT Wiz | 46c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed KT Wiz | 37c | 30.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed KT Wiz | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked KT Wiz | 56c | 28.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed KT Wiz | 60c | 23.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 23.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 362 | 68%246 W · 116 L | +34.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked KT Wiz | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed KT Wiz | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked KT Wiz | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 19.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.