MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f47548a3eb02a51d232a4b8c845d9b0f4f33354b5382d6823059f5d9e8166e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Samsung Lions, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 37c | 806.73$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.11 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 36c | 717.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.88 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 26c | 702.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 500.74$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 433$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.48 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 425$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed NC Dinos | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 356.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 42c | 349.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 292.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed NC Dinos | 36c | 289.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.47 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 282.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 33c | 231.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 231$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 227.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 18c | 213.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked NC Dinos | 72c | 213.14$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked NC Dinos | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 181.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 179.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed NC Dinos | 36c | 174.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 159.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Samsung Lions | 41c | 158.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 35c | 152.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 79c | 148.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NC Dinos | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed NC Dinos | 40c | 116.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 96.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NC Dinos | 64c | 89.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 84.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 77.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NC Dinos | 42c | 74.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked NC Dinos | 37c | 73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…d779backed NC Dinos | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 70.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked NC Dinos | 36c | 61.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 60.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 53.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Samsung Lions | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…74ebbacked NC Dinos | 36c | 49.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 414 | 44%182 W · 232 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed NC Dinos | 53c | 45.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…2b05backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 33.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed NC Dinos | 58c | 31.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…bd06backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed NC Dinos | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…b325backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 26.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 25.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed NC Dinos | 45c | 24.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…2ad6backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 24.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked NC Dinos | 66c | 22.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 22.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f00…4ec8backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.