NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8ec415119d8408c1ecb8aee4ac02fc002c4a9035d036479c82327f6ecb14fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Oilers, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 35c | 7,969$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.62 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e996backed Sabres | 36c | 6,915$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…d32dbacked Oilers | 52c | 4,964$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sabres | 49c | 4,257$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.04 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 65c | 4,177$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Oilers | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Oilers | 65c | 2,387$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Oilers | 27c | 2,088$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers | 57c | 2,050$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.33 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Sabres | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres | 34c | 1,892$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.67 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Oilers | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Oilers | 64c | 1,503$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Sabres | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602f…33d4backed Oilers | 66c | 1,368$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sabres | 37c | 1,353$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.29 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sabres | 35c | 1,254$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.62 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Oilers | 50c | 1,201$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.75 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 55c | 1,162$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.22 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c8…ebb7backed Oilers | 64c | 1,155$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe654…b727backed Sabres | 36c | 1,155$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 29c | 1,138$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.65 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7a…8b82backed Sabres | 36c | 999.89$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Sabres | 63c | 917.08$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.26 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Oilers | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Sabres | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Sabres | 36c | 761.4$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.29 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Sabres | 36c | 744.86$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.39 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 36c | 728.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.39 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 35c | 709.94$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.46 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Sabres | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 63c | 699.97$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 35c | 696.7$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.86 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…5ee8backed Sabres | 73c | 674.81$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Oilers | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…1f3cbacked Sabres | 37c | 593.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Oilers | 65c | 582.8$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Oilers | 65c | 516.32$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.61 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Sabres | 34c | 515$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.9 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4d…52e9backed Sabres | 37c | 510.43$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Sabres | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 36c | 491.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Sabres | 36c | 478.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 50c | 431.18$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.79 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0f…661dbacked Oilers | 55c | 398.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…97d9backed Oilers | 66c | 376.45$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sabres | 35c | 346.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…c8c7backed Oilers | 65c | 338.46$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Oilers | 66c | 319.74$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Sabres | 35c | 313.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.45 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Sabres | 34c | 312.64$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Sabres | 36c | 311.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Oilers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Oilers | 40c | 307.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 51c | 296.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers | 65c | 294$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…c153backed Oilers | 64c | 276$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0c07backed Sabres | 36c | 276$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dc…3502backed Oilers | 65c | 274.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…f73abacked Sabres | 36c | 261.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Oilers | 64c | 260.75$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…454abacked Oilers | 64c | 255$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…ec50backed Sabres | 36c | 255$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004b…004abacked Oilers | 64c | 251$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…336dbacked Sabres | 36c | 251$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5b3ebacked Oilers | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…f52dbacked Sabres | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…37cdbacked Sabres | 35c | 247$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…4ac3backed Oilers | 65c | 247$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…8efcbacked Oilers | 64c | 236$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…a5e8backed Sabres | 36c | 236$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…5cf5backed Sabres | 35c | 233$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd8…21ccbacked Oilers | 65c | 233$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3941…7e0abacked Sabres | 37c | 229.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…c43abacked Sabres | 36c | 226$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…5e5dbacked Oilers | 64c | 226$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…d747backed Oilers | 26c | 222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…d101backed Oilers | 19c | 222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 25c | 220.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3348backed Sabres | 36c | 213$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…a0a0backed Oilers | 64c | 213$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…6e0cbacked Sabres | 36c | 211$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ce…7b13backed Oilers | 64c | 211$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Oilers | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…141fbacked Sabres | 35c | 203.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 34c | 198.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Oilers | 65c | 194.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Sabres | 36c | 190.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…0a36backed Sabres | 36c | 183.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…d768backed Oilers | 64c | 181.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Sabres | 56c | 178.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Sabres | 68c | 178.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Oilers | 46c | 163$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sabres | 50c | 158.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec01backed Oilers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Oilers | 64c | 149.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.