TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25a7…2f87backed No49c60,296$29,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,535.681546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes48c53,998$26,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,878.3610357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No73c8,411$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,140.174153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes27c7,407$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,407.4110848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c5,643$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.686,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c4,135$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.5569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked Yes33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0101127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01079650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Yes70c2,872$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.385451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes26c2,625$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.167732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes49c2,556$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.1230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes25c2,354$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.1622932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c1,810$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.921,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No75c1,710$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.7222050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c1,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No7c1,431$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.064339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No1c1,185$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.858646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No24c1,137$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.147139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…dacfbacked Yes58c1,131$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Yes27c800$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5842236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No58c771.77$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.245056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed No45c667.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c645.4$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes25c631.13$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.3518433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes22c594.72$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.887844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed No9c555$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes51c503.22$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1227454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes49c490$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.99858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes27c478.04$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0120027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed No69c478$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.822860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes28c445.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.686327%17 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No77c444$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8821548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No74c437.58$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.679747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No78c367.61$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.745149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed No73c364.04$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.751070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7820…8d10backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed Yes52c314.64$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.514235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes24c312.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.55633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb470…aa7bbacked Yes36c246.57$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked No29c245.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2980%0 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No75c243$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1739561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked No76c239.13$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.131346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes28c229$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2113727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15221656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No75c200$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14921463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed Yes50c195.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.91478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.671118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72d…a4e0backed Yes52c148.21$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a43…9b60backed No45c145$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.251020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-72.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed No44c140$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.62254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes59c127.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.213342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36bb…3345backed Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+110.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No45c114.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No77c109.58$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3716863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No55c108.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No78c107.06$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5110752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No46c101.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.579238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee72…234cbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4615345.8%70 W · 83 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes70c91.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.684,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.967833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.965541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed No24c84.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9700…1439backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…ac85backed Yes29c82.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes26c81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.895944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebb…593dbacked Yes23c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdab…088abacked No78c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+96.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No76c77.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.952060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc819…b7f0backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.072552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c71.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Yes49c70.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.047248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507656.6%43 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No67c65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.553959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No75c64.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No76c62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes55c56.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.362075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x887c…e405backed Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5529238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No74c54.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.23560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes70c54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.024165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No75c53.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.214953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52e0…f941backed No76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed No54c38.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed No77c36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes58c34.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.313050%15 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9917…4976backed No65c32.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.