NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96924791f29ce5c35d22c08fde942fe09f1d1b5837914d2bf154e533c6bccdbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Heat, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Heat | 0c | 19,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 30c | 18,944$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.24 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Knicks | 71c | 18,000$12,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Heat | 43c | 15,444$6,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.71 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Knicks | 65c | 10,332$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.2 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 46c | 8,000$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.17 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Knicks | 78c | 7,824$6,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.32 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Heat | 52c | 6,576$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 71c | 6,448$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 28c | 5,479$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.77 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Knicks | 71c | 4,500$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.8 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Heat | 29c | 4,249$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.18 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Knicks | 79c | 4,222$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.04 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Knicks | 72c | 4,184$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.87 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 28c | 3,967$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.14 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 33c | 3,893$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.84 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 44c | 3,522$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.5 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Knicks | 73c | 2,985$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.85 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…3620backed Heat | 28c | 2,453$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…a70abacked Heat | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 59c | 1,995$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 1c | 1,810$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Heat | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Heat | 7c | 1,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 52c | 1,769$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks | 71c | 1,742$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.29 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 1c | 1,716$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Heat | 22c | 1,607$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Knicks | 63c | 1,453$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.53 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Knicks | 73c | 1,373$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.28 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Knicks | 71c | 1,350$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 30c | 1,333$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed Knicks | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Heat | 36c | 1,250$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.5 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Heat | 28c | 1,159$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…9bd1backed Knicks | 61c | 1,140$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.85 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Knicks | 58c | 1,100$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Heat | 2c | 1,057$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…40ddbacked Heat | 28c | 999.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Knicks | 71c | 988.73$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Heat | 17c | 968.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea70…3c44backed Knicks | 73c | 959.23$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 63c | 949.11$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Knicks | 72c | 946.14$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 28c | 899.62$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Knicks | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 27c | 807.69$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Knicks | 72c | 786$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.58 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks | 72c | 766$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.59 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…20b6backed Knicks | 70c | 700.33$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Heat | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Knicks | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Knicks | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Knicks | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…d8dbbacked Knicks | 73c | 691.78$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Knicks | 65c | 691$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Knicks | 71c | 674.13$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Heat | 28c | 666$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Knicks | 62c | 647.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…1eb3backed Knicks | 72c | 599.98$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 16c | 599.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 58c | 598.56$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks | 71c | 596.67$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.03 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Knicks | 56c | 590$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Knicks | 71c | 577.81$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…1aa1backed Knicks | 72c | 518.49$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Heat | 26c | 503.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…d101backed Knicks | 71c | 486.15$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Knicks | 45c | 484.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Knicks | 71c | 475$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…5151backed Knicks | 74c | 474.42$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Heat | 29c | 458.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Knicks | 71c | 444$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…d5e2backed Knicks | 70c | 444$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Knicks | 69c | 427.2$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Knicks | 71c | 409.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5182…8f84backed Knicks | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 28c | 386$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 28c | 367$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…8261backed Knicks | 72c | 350.32$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Knicks | 66c | 348.66$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Knicks | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Heat | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Heat | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Knicks | 71c | 344.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…d604backed Knicks | 73c | 327.4$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…70f7backed Knicks | 59c | 325.42$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Knicks | 71c | 320.64$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Heat | 27c | 317.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Knicks | 71c | 307.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Knicks | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Heat | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Knicks | 70c | 299.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.