Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf099dda80246b2f9a4904fe13b6898063e9ad5598d43f7bb4d8cfea619b779cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 18c | 1,745$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.74 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 69c | 1,305$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 8c | 1,220$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 71c | 1,038$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.29 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 30c | 799.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 79c | 743.66$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Yes | 24c | 567.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 499.17$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 69c | 473.28$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 30c | 384.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 21c | 376.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…cdbbbacked Yes | 17c | 360.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 288$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 78c | 221$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 23c | 202.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 17c | 187$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked No | 69c | 167.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 32c | 155.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 30c | 149.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 16c | 121.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 29c | 86.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 78c | 79.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 23c | 48.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 20.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.