Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2014664918ee59e5d435789ae64d805f3fe27c6deb7cbdeeb38ce33648faeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 29c | 5,213$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 3,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 8c | 2,393$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 66c | 1,465$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 16c | 1,295$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 19c | 1,073$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.79 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 31c | 999.71$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 67c | 851.41$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 24c | 729.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 69c | 676.78$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 3c | 656$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -68%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 4c | 540$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 4c | 531.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 30c | 385$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 69c | 318$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 69c | 315$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fd…4bbdbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 273.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 75c | 198$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 159.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…1fc0backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 32c | 96.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 50.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No | 69c | 48.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
- Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.