NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35299ef93cb05afc0591faa883c29ece317b78e9d42da9ec88b65b1af6da51cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,176,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,211,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,176,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Cardinals | 71c | 672,536$478,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,423.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Saints | 29c | 436,613$126,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,240.12 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saints | 21c | 95,861$19,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,953.57 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Saints | 29c | 83,069$24,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,061.43 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Saints | 24c | 48,441$11,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Saints | 19c | 33,023$6,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150.61 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Saints | 29c | 28,700$8,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,321.01 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 75c | 28,074$21,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.34 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Saints | 30c | 23,897$7,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158.96 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Cardinals | 68c | 21,080$14,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.02 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Saints | 31c | 16,768$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Saints | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Saints | 31c | 12,463$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.17 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints | 28c | 9,485$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.78 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Cardinals | 72c | 8,991$6,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.47 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Saints | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Saints | 27c | 6,000$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.79 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Saints | 28c | 5,653$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.75 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Saints | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.97 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cardinals | 76c | 4,689$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.43 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Saints | 28c | 4,624$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.14 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Saints | 16c | 4,263$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Saints | 25c | 3,635$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.78 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Saints | 27c | 3,492$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.78 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Saints | 10c | 3,200$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.64 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Cardinals | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Saints | 29c | 2,400$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 70c | 2,055$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.31 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Saints | 28c | 1,975$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.03 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Saints | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Saints | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Cardinals | 72c | 1,643$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Saints | 28c | 1,633$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.33 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Saints | 26c | 1,602$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.27 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Saints | 27c | 1,554$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.71 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Saints | 28c | 1,503$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saints | 16c | 1,452$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.96 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 2c | 1,414$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Cardinals | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saints | 31c | 1,278$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.85 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…f3c4backed Cardinals | 72c | 1,188$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Saints | 10c | 1,038$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 72c | 985.71$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Cardinals | 72c | 839.08$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Saints | 33c | 816.79$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Cardinals | 67c | 799$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.55 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Saints | 15c | 781.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Saints | 19c | 700$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Cardinals | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Saints | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Cardinals | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Cardinals | 72c | 599.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cardinals | 71c | 585$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Saints | 27c | 564.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Saints | 37c | 547.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Saints | 28c | 534$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Saints | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Saints | 28c | 513$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Saints | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals | 73c | 483.08$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Saints | 20c | 449.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…f500backed Saints | 29c | 431.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Saints | 26c | 417.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cardinals | 67c | 416.79$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Saints | 28c | 416$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Saints | 28c | 410.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Saints | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saints | 12c | 368.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Saints | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Saints | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Saints | 29c | 355.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Cardinals | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Saints | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…bb52backed Saints | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Cardinals | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Cardinals | 72c | 320$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Cardinals | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Cardinals | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Cardinals | 71c | 284.7$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Cardinals | 73c | 282.53$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Saints | 28c | 278.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Saints | 29c | 254.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Cardinals | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Cardinals | 73c | 244.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Cardinals | 72c | 243.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Cardinals | 72c | 207.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cardinals | 72c | 204.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Saints | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Cardinals | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Saints | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…e452backed Saints | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…4355backed Saints | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Saints | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…dfeebacked Cardinals | 72c | 173.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Saints | 19c | 167.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a008backed Cardinals | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Cardinals | 72c | 160.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Saints | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Cardinals | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Saintsthis page
- Cardinals vs. Saints: O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.