NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a4d6297140235b58b80865e539b30e4913847d9ecd779214efac61270a80a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Devils, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fd5…2a3fbacked Penguins | 43c | 97,893$42,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,799.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…6ebebacked Devils | 57c | 97,893$55,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,799.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Devils | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Devils | 69c | 11,664$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 37c | 7,246$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.82 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 57c | 3,247$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.12 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Penguins | 43c | 2,900$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Devils | 1c | 2,547$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Penguins | 44c | 2,268$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.19 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Devils | 18c | 2,007$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.86 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Devils | 57c | 1,502$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Penguins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Devils | 57c | 1,434$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.5 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Devils | 2c | 1,279$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Devils | 41c | 1,230$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 65c | 1,229$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 27c | 1,223$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.86 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked Devils | 21c | 1,158$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Penguins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins | 42c | 999.82$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.9 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 41c | 945.21$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.66 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Penguins | 32c | 940.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.62 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Penguins | 64c | 939.45$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Devils | 57c | 881.5$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.46 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Penguins | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Devils | 58c | 526.12$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.15 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Penguins | 43c | 525$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Devils | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Penguins | 74c | 482.14$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Devils | 55c | 387.78$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 60c | 374.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Devils | 41c | 337.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Devils | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Penguins | 31c | 324.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Penguins | 43c | 320$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Devils | 58c | 279.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…5dd0backed Devils | 57c | 231.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Penguins | 47c | 222$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…0388backed Devils | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…4451backed Penguins | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Penguins | 28c | 218.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Devils | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Penguins | 70c | 199.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Devils | 58c | 198.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Devils | 35c | 189.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Devils | 49c | 181.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 55c | 167.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda36…582fbacked Devils | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…79d2backed Penguins | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Penguins | 66c | 143.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…1d32backed Penguins | 77c | 140.93$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Devils | 75c | 133.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Devils | 58c | 123$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Devils | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…76bfbacked Penguins | 43c | 116.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 44c | 114.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Devils | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Penguins | 43c | 104$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Penguins | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Devils | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Devils | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Penguins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…dff1backed Devils | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Devils | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Devils | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Devils | 37c | 96.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…175cbacked Penguins | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 47cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…1e04backed Devils | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Devils | 19c | 78.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ee6ebacked Penguins | 43c | 74.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Devils | 58c | 72.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…93c8backed Devils | 74c | 70.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Devils | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Devils | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Penguins | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…1bb1backed Devils | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…e453backed Penguins | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0807…60f2backed Penguins | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…0464backed Devils | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…93c7backed Devils | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Penguins | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Devils | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Devils | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…8965backed Devils | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…d6a7backed Penguins | 32c | 47.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Penguins | 50c | 43.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Devils | 57c | 42.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Penguins | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…8ac2backed Penguins | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Penguins | 65c | 38.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Devils | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…fe47backed Penguins | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…2ccebacked Devils | 58c | 34.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Devils | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Devils | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Devils | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc95…b4aebacked Devils | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.