NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e327c25e8812a25eef1a5148bea64a9220a5648ea7146bda09fdb3d860651d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Panthers, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Panthers | 33c | 26,425$8,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,734.31 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers | 33c | 22,293$7,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,414.02 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jaguars | 71c | 22,093$15,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,315.42 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Panthers | 34c | 22,092$7,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,576 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 33c | 19,985$6,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,619.42 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers | 2c | 15,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jaguars | 66c | 14,632$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.61 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers | 25c | 13,917$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.57 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jaguars | 67c | 13,197$8,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.03 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Jaguars | 67c | 12,952$8,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.05 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jaguars | 64c | 12,000$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.98 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Jaguars | 65c | 11,595$7,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.92 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Panthers | 32c | 10,855$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.7 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jaguars | 64c | 10,716$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.07 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 35c | 10,546$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.43 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Panthers | 14c | 10,000$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.32 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Panthers | 36c | 9,535$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.59 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panthers | 2c | 8,170$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 33c | 7,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers | 31c | 5,730$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 29c | 5,164$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.84 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Panthers | 34c | 5,037$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.6 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Panthers | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Jaguars | 69c | 4,781$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.22 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Panthers | 15c | 4,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.1 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Panthers | 1c | 4,565$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Panthers | 36c | 4,191$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.76 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars | 64c | 2,939$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.05 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 36c | 2,767$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panthers | 20c | 2,638$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.45 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Jaguars | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Jaguars | 67c | 2,285$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.68 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jaguars | 65c | 2,123$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.36 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Jaguars | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 22c | 1,834$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.77 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Panthers | 31c | 1,714$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.92 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Panthers | 20c | 1,591$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.16 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Panthers | 33c | 1,525$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.25 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…5c27backed Jaguars | 65c | 1,523$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Jaguars | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Panthers | 34c | 1,456$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +115%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Panthers | 35c | 1,426$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 1,424$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Jaguars | 65c | 1,221$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.45 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…51ccbacked Jaguars | 66c | 1,152$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Panthers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers | 34c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Panthers | 34c | 975$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Panthers | 34c | 786.88$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.3 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 34c | 725$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Panthers | 36c | 602.78$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Jaguars | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Panthers | 34c | 539.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Jaguars | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Jaguars | 65c | 500$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Jaguars | 67c | 499.77$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jaguars | 64c | 491.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Jaguars | 65c | 474$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Panthers | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 36c | 443.04$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Jaguars | 69c | 435.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Jaguars | 69c | 420.52$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Panthers | 36c | 411$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Jaguars | 67c | 409.7$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Jaguars | 78c | 402.73$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 36c | 380.78$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…f500backed Panthers | 36c | 347.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Jaguars | 79c | 300.95$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Jaguars | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Jaguars | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Jaguars | 76c | 289.9$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…b082backed Panthers | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Panthers | 36c | 264.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Jaguars | 63c | 259.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Panthers | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Panthers | 32c | 234$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Jaguars | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Panthers | 24c | 183.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jaguars | 69c | 179.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Jaguars | 67c | 177.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Jaguars | 67c | 165.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Panthers | 34c | 161.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…6e14backed Jaguars | 68c | 156.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Jaguars | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Jaguars | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Jaguars | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…bb52backed Jaguars | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Jaguars | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Panthers | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Jaguars | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b05…c6c8backed Jaguars | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Jaguars | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Panthers | 37c | 145.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Panthers | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Jaguars | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Panthers | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jaguars | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Jaguarsthis page
- Panthers vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.