NFL · resolved market
Titans vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8631f0ed4bfd974a9b68a5a6984fdac27226b508b84ff6715305193fb1d157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Titans, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,052,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,072,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,052,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Titans | 21c | 447,265$94,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,784.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Broncos | 79c | 190,500$150,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,005 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Titans | 21c | 115,509$24,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,231.18 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Broncos | 79c | 76,840$60,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,136.37 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Broncos | 79c | 68,500$54,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,385 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Titans | 25c | 60,261$14,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,885.98 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos | 79c | 46,925$37,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,790.6 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Broncos | 80c | 45,831$36,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,242 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Titans | 21c | 29,156$6,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,122.86 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Broncos | 76c | 24,798$18,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,951.53 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Broncos | 70c | 24,313$17,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,288.57 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Broncos | 76c | 22,658$17,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.25 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Broncos | 79c | 22,258$17,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Titans | 19c | 21,244$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.44 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…efc3backed Broncos | 79c | 20,613$16,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Broncos | 79c | 20,573$16,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.33 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Broncos | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Titans | 21c | 19,163$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.14 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Titans | 26c | 17,652$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.51 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 79c | 15,500$12,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Broncos | 75c | 15,472$11,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.47 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Broncos | 79c | 14,608$11,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.83 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Broncos | 77c | 13,472$10,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.14 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Titans | 21c | 12,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.99 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0930…0d60backed Broncos | 80c | 12,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Titans | 30c | 9,790$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.38 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Broncos | 79c | 9,500$7,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Broncos | 79c | 7,681$6,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Broncos | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Broncos | 79c | 7,338$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Broncos | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Titans | 31c | 5,474$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.36 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Titans | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Broncos | 79c | 4,988$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Titans | 21c | 4,143$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.06 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Broncos | 79c | 4,000$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Titans | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Titans | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Broncos | 79c | 3,500$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Titans | 20c | 3,438$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.51 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Broncos | 79c | 3,256$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Broncos | 78c | 3,044$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.68 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Broncos | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Broncos | 78c | 2,941$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.61 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Titans | 21c | 2,745$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Broncos | 78c | 2,600$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Broncos | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Titans | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Titans | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Titans | 24c | 2,390$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Broncos | 79c | 2,293$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.61 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Broncos | 78c | 2,264$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.42 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Broncos | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…9c35backed Titans | 20c | 2,207$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos | 79c | 2,148$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.67 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Broncos | 78c | 2,045$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.88 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Broncos | 78c | 1,999$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.84 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Broncos | 79c | 1,990$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Titans | 20c | 1,935$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d622backed Broncos | 80c | 1,874$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Broncos | 79c | 1,822$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Titans | 22c | 1,819$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…4106backed Broncos | 79c | 1,763$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Broncos | 79c | 1,750$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Broncos | 78c | 1,680$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Titans | 19c | 1,600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Broncos | 79c | 1,490$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Broncos | 78c | 1,403$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Broncos | 78c | 1,400$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Titans | 22c | 1,382$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…60ddbacked Titans | 14c | 1,380$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Broncos | 79c | 1,285$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Broncos | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Titans | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Broncos | 79c | 1,196$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Broncos | 79c | 1,163$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Broncos | 70c | 1,151$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.43 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8690…eb40backed Titans | 28c | 1,103$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Broncos | 80c | 1,099$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Titans | 2c | 1,096$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Titans | 21c | 1,086$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Broncos | 79c | 1,020$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Broncos | 79c | 1,005$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Titans | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Titans | 22c | 1,000$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Broncos | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Titans | 28c | 979$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Titans | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…6c2bbacked Titans | 22c | 935$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Broncos | 75c | 930.67$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…2922backed Broncos | 78c | 898.67$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.96 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Titans | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Broncos | 73c | 827.11$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Titans | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Broncos | 78c | 750.48$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.1 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Broncos | 68c | 710.81$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Broncos | 76c | 655.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.27 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Titans | 19c | 653.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Broncos | 78c | 637.18$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Broncos | 77c | 592.74$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Titans vs. Broncosthis page
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Broncos won
- Titans vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.