NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2dab6ae43c6736185e9af61f8617328f400b84c1a32fee940044cc8b2d36dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,672,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,681,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,672,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Wizards | 22c | 1,004,438$219,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784,765.85 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mavericks | 78c | 227,250$177,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,255 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Mavericks | 78c | 220,920$172,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,317.77 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Mavericks | 78c | 66,933$52,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,208.11 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Mavericks | 79c | 60,468$47,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,556.94 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mavericks | 78c | 60,000$46,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,800 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Mavericks | 78c | 54,775$42,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,991.59 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…a199backed Wizards | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Mavericks | 78c | 50,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 79c | 47,990$38,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,013.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Mavericks | 78c | 42,500$33,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,150 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks | 80c | 42,055$33,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,524.59 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Mavericks | 79c | 38,000$29,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,930 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Wizards | 22c | 36,500$7,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,540.23 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mavericks | 78c | 33,333$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.74 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 78c | 25,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Wizards | 18c | 25,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,499.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mavericks | 61c | 23,512$14,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,309.41 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Wizards | 70c | 23,448$16,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,017.98 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 56c | 22,254$12,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,528.9 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Mavericks | 45c | 21,906$9,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,787.1 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 19c | 13,500$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,985 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 78c | 11,000$8,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 77c | 10,695$8,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,235.11 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks | 46c | 9,963$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.28 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mavericks | 21c | 9,307$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.39 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 79c | 8,587$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks | 22c | 8,485$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.83 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Mavericks | 78c | 8,110$6,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,326 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 20c | 7,550$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.03 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Mavericks | 80c | 7,355$5,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 37c | 6,545$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.48 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mavericks | 66c | 6,032$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.73 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Wizards | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Mavericks | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mavericks | 78c | 3,600$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 19c | 3,050$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,902$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.83 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks | 78c | 2,654$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks | 2c | 2,580$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Mavericks | 79c | 2,517$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks | 25c | 2,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 57c | 2,448$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.36 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Mavericks | 78c | 2,380$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.13 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Wizards | 33c | 2,378$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.25 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mavericks | 28c | 2,344$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.72 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Mavericks | 80c | 2,225$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Wizards | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.91 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 31c | 2,091$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,062$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.01 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Wizards | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Mavericks | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Mavericks | 59c | 1,833$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.93 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,830$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.79 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 31c | 1,819$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Wizards | 19c | 1,753$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 18c | 1,700$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,582$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Mavericks | 73c | 1,520$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.44 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Mavericks | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Mavericks | 62c | 1,500$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mavericks | 79c | 1,481$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks | 25c | 1,414$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.5 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Wizards | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Wizards | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 42c | 1,279$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mavericks | 78c | 1,250$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mavericks | 71c | 1,246$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.47 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Mavericks | 25c | 1,002$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Wizards | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Mavericks | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mavericks | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Mavericks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Mavericks | 75c | 999.99$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 77c | 909$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Mavericks | 78c | 885$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.3 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Mavericks | 11c | 834.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Wizards | 18c | 821.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.15 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Mavericks | 45c | 764.71$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.12 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Mavericks | 79c | 753.02$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks | 49c | 750$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 19c | 700$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wizards | 17c | 641$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.43 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…903bbacked Wizards | 69c | 637.6$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Mavericks | 18c | 597.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 73c | 560$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Wizards | 18c | 549.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.98 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Wizards | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Mavericks | 59c | 512.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Mavericks | 46c | 511.45$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Mavericks | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Mavericks | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Mavericks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Wizards | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Wizards | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Mavericks | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Wizards | 17c | 500$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 19c | 467.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Mavericksthis page
- Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.