College Football · resolved market
Kansas vs. Iowa State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668e947785286a422edfa0a3c9dee0c9920ef5840bcaaddb99064b57613ab02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Stateof Kansas, Iowa State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Iowa State | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Kansas | 40c | 14,431$5,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,772.3 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kansas | 7c | 12,409$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.15 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas | 40c | 6,311$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.04 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas | 36c | 4,869$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.55 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Kansas | 38c | 2,326$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.12 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa State | 63c | 2,112$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.22 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…11f6backed Kansas | 39c | 2,027$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…56abbacked Iowa State | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Iowa State | 63c | 1,808$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.21 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kansas | 8c | 1,769$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Iowa State | 62c | 1,152$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.76 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa State | 60c | 1,078$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kansas | 39c | 999.94$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Iowa State | 75c | 985.8$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kansas | 39c | 943$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.77 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…e95ebacked Iowa State | 61c | 901.64$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa State | 63c | 885.05$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.56 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…98a3backed Kansas | 40c | 874.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Iowa State | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Kansas | 12c | 684.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Kansas | 7c | 641.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas | 30c | 638$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kansas | 37c | 614$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kansas | 31c | 538.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Iowa State | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Kansas | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc082…db05backed Iowa State | 61c | 286.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…98b4backed Kansas | 40c | 286$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Kansas | 37c | 271.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas | 17c | 270.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kansas | 39c | 252.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Iowa State | 61c | 246.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas | 11c | 225.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Iowa State | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas | 39c | 164.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Kansas | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kansas | 10c | 156.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Kansas | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Kansas | 10c | 150.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Iowa State | 62c | 123.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Kansas | 14c | 104.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Kansas | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…5fe4backed Iowa State | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…c360backed Kansas | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…055abacked Kansas | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kansas | 37c | 99.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Iowa State | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Iowa State | 63c | 94.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Iowa State | 62c | 88.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Iowa State | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa State | 78c | 81.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa State | 68c | 78.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…f70abacked Iowa State | 65c | 65.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kansas | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa State | 60c | 57.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Iowa State | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Iowa State | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…df47backed Iowa State | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Kansas | 40c | 48.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Kansas | 38c | 48.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Kansas | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Kansas | 37c | 40.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…9895backed Kansas | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…18b3backed Iowa State | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Kansas | 41c | 36.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…4030backed Kansas | 37c | 34.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…5e1cbacked Iowa State | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…7a06backed Iowa State | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…bf3bbacked Iowa State | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kansas | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89d…1fffbacked Kansas | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…c6d0backed Kansas | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Iowa State | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…1690backed Kansas | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd3…5d42backed Iowa State | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…5adebacked Iowa State | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…5d06backed Iowa State | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Iowa State | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…8dc6backed Iowa State | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…9cdfbacked Iowa State | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…7d92backed Iowa State | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas vs. Iowa Statethis page
- O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State (-3.5)Iowa State won
- Spread: Iowa State (-4.5)Iowa State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.