TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Charlotte 49ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Charlotte 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Charlotte 49ers37c4,711$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.034,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane64c2,770$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.22055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Charlotte 49ers36c2,213$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.995,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55524451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane62c1,469$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.229845.9%45 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Charlotte 49ers31c1,326$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.156844.1%30 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane65c1,011$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.752,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane63c918$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.981,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2667058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane63c692.36$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2562839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Charlotte 49ers36c678.86$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Charlotte 49ers38c639.63$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.691,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Charlotte 49ers22c583.04$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.981,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane61c379.87$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.152,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane69c298.26$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.263,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Charlotte 49ers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786524.6%16 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane78c196.49$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.431,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane63c143.52$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Charlotte 49ers39c128.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Charlotte 49ers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Charlotte 49ers15c128.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.793,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Charlotte 49ers35c113.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013247%62 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane78c91.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane62c76.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Charlotte 49ers36c73.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.732,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Charlotte 49ers23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8418241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane77c62.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Charlotte 49ers26c61.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Charlotte 49ers34c53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0225436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Charlotte 49ers24c52.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5648051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Charlotte 49ers38c46.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.521546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Charlotte 49ers25c42.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5966831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.220254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…2ce2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane62c18.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.082458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane66c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.121,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.