Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x683e62efff44583f45b6d0207bb91bd048f09d192129d269880e41bccb70f68e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof Loyola Chicago Ramblers, Dayton Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 7c | 19,471$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.99 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 8,217$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 7c | 4,343$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 4c | 3,547$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 16c | 2,705$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.34 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 2,664$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 1c | 2,411$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 12c | 1,372$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 11c | 1,300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 872.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 849.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 7c | 770.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 580.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 5c | 433.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 430.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 5c | 396.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 4c | 353.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…e9dfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 334.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 18c | 332.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 15c | 318.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 299.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 9c | 288.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 285.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 5c | 244$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 16c | 204$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 188.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 11c | 187.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…42ebbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 178.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…970ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 174.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…743bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 6c | 168.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 9c | 138.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 11c | 130.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 15c | 117.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyersthis page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 141.5Under won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-16.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-17.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-18.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.