Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d1fc4911cfb425536b4573ceca5911af801be2ea6ed9831d6653c9343aba349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 50c | 139$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 54c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 71.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 49c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 67.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 141.5this page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton FlyersDayton Flyers won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-16.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-17.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-18.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.