TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Erste Bank Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublik

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bublikof Cerundolo, Bublik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cerundolo41c40,000$16,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,376.9339249.7%195 W · 197 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Bublik59c27,373$16,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,144.555064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75dd…b869backed Bublik60c9,524$5,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fc…6760backed Cerundolo40c9,524$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Bublik64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bublik65c7,020$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.298,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Cerundolo40c6,214$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick42cpaid+85.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bublik59c5,966$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.2314345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Cerundolo19c3,343$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.18119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cerundolo36c2,994$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07862742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bublik61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97517823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cerundolo41c1,943$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.1113935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Cerundolo40c1,400$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1644125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Cerundolo22c913.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Bublik61c843.88$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.551428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…d32abacked Bublik64c775.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Bublik60c667$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cerundolo16c627.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bublik59c549.65$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.132,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Bublik64c514.93$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.661,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Bublik61c510$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bublik78c492.03$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Bublik60c491.67$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6743448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Bublik64c470.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.538243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Bublik60c425$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17012050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Bublik62c420$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.373452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Cerundolo40c373.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cerundolo40c332.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.24751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bublik62c287.1$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.14555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Cerundolo15c280.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4675547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bublik60c279.85$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9473147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb36…79b2backed Cerundolo40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Cerundolo25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd223…292abacked Cerundolo41c235$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2381…0024backed Bublik60c235$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Bublik59c235$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.356241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Cerundolo45c221.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Bublik60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8028747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cerundolo40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9918943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Cerundolo41c192.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Bublik59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.58537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cerundolo30c140.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.22,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee99…b0aebacked Cerundolo42c137.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Cerundolo40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Bublik60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5036047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Bublik61c115.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.682259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a0…e197backed Bublik61c114.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Bublik62c112$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.563461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cerundolo41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.142141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5b…24edbacked Bublik61c108.03$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Cerundolo39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Bublik60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Bublik61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea4…f4acbacked Bublik61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bublik59c91.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.391,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Cerundolo28c89.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.144423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Cerundolo38c83.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a5b…f97ebacked Cerundolo42c82.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf24…0039backed Bublik61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bublik61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9749749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Bublik61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Bublik79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9510457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Cerundolo41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2666…0d98backed Bublik80c72.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Cerundolo15c69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4531819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97be…7580backed Bublik79c56.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+378.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Bublik79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.636675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Cerundolo36c50.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.915832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Bublik64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cerundolo40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Bublik80c47.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.512974.4%96 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bublik61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9863942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f3…8da0backed Bublik60c39.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6056…9ed8backed Cerundolo40c39.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cerundolo40c35.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2373048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bublik65c34.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.052,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Bublik61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7972957.3%418 W · 311 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a0…8208backed Cerundolo38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09e6…f84cbacked Bublik62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cerundolo37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a6…3079backed Bublik59c25.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf739…8167backed Cerundolo41c25.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c9…0594backed Bublik60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Bublik61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3412…3a3cbacked Bublik64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.442281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.