Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. UNCG Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7700dca9371af972d2d811e035b73e9a3d6eb3cd17c23500571a4529948f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCG Spartansof The Citadel Bulldogs, UNCG Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNCG Spartans | 52c | 1,458$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…f31cbacked UNCG Spartans | 30c | 1,350$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 50c | 916.66$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.1 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…5314backed UNCG Spartans | 29c | 894.59$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.79 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 37c | 883.97$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCG Spartans | 79c | 645.55$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 40c | 501$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked UNCG Spartans | 58c | 483.81$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 35c | 229$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UNCG Spartans | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 41c | 163.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed UNCG Spartans | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 34c | 128.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNCG Spartans | 78c | 105.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 71c | 93.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UNCG Spartans | 55c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 50c | 82.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 21c | 80.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed UNCG Spartans | 57c | 59.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 61c | 52.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 44c | 51.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 58c | 35.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UNCG Spartans | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 64c | 32.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed UNCG Spartans | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 50c | 28.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed UNCG Spartans | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…07f3backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 66c | 21.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…512abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. UNCG Spartansthis page
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. UNCG Spartans: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.