NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0119e5f0da826eac92cf641d1331267c2f630d01414eb4e0e246b6d1155fb39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 51c | 61,490$31,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,269.72 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Kings | 50c | 29,908$14,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,954.07 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 50c | 16,242$8,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Senators | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Senators | 49c | 11,252$5,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,545.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 49c | 10,102$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Senators | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 50c | 8,995$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.5 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Senators | 49c | 7,810$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.66 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Senators | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Senators | 31c | 6,416$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 49c | 5,964$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.77 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Senators | 28c | 5,313$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.45 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 49c | 5,005$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.43 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Kings | 51c | 3,936$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.43 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 49c | 3,159$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 69c | 2,519$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Senators | 49c | 2,510$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.9 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Senators | 50c | 2,042$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.14 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Senators | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 49c | 1,909$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.24 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Senators | 50c | 1,863$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.5 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Senators | 49c | 1,814$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.04 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 51c | 1,500$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 31c | 1,448$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.81 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 1,432$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 73c | 1,177$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.61 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kings | 52c | 1,137$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.54 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 50c | 1,124$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.1 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Senators | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 22c | 931.62$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Senators | 51c | 799.96$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.98 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Senators | 49c | 749.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 69c | 740.32$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Senators | 49c | 702.04$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Kings | 52c | 701.92$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.92 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Kings | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Senators | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 51c | 643.46$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators | 49c | 599$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.51 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Senators | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 46c | 522$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Senators | 51c | 501.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kings | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Kings | 72c | 499.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Kings | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Senators | 49c | 473.96$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.24 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Senators | 50c | 445$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Senators | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Senators | 18c | 394.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Senators | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…7b63backed Senators | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…84c0backed Kings | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 30c | 354.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…12edbacked Kings | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…9146backed Senators | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Senators | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 51c | 319$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Senators | 51c | 307.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Senators | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Senators | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kings | 51c | 262.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…34edbacked Senators | 49c | 261.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Kings | 52c | 257.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…f586backed Kings | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…ad2cbacked Senators | 51c | 252$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Senators | 48c | 248.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Senators | 51c | 235.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 49c | 229$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 63c | 222.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Senators | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Senators | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Kings | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Senators | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Senators | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e2…0a6abacked Kings | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Senators | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Senators | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Senators | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Senators | 49c | 189.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Senators | 22c | 158.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Senators | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Kings | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Kings | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Senators | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Kings | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 49c | 126.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Kings | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Senators | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Senators | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Senators | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Senators | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Senators | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Senators | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Senatorsthis page
- Kings vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.