Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wichita State Shockers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817973ed4f23676a55070e00346e65d62f37a3427ba9da9d5ece30e39bcd163f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlantic Owlsof Wichita State Shockers, Florida Atlantic Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 35c | 3,192$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 65c | 2,534$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 72c | 1,761$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Wichita State Shockers | 35c | 1,210$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.48 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wichita State Shockers | 29c | 1,161$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 64c | 1,156$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wichita State Shockers | 32c | 1,126$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.32 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Wichita State Shockers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 64c | 749.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wichita State Shockers | 18c | 482.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 63c | 371.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wichita State Shockers | 37c | 276.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 65c | 275$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 37c | 271.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 71c | 267.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 72c | 258.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 73c | 233$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Wichita State Shockers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wichita State Shockers | 26c | 185$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 67c | 182.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wichita State Shockers | 27c | 146.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 63c | 125.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wichita State Shockers | 36c | 109.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wichita State Shockers | 33c | 108.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wichita State Shockers | 36c | 102$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wichita State Shockers | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Wichita State Shockers | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Wichita State Shockers | 33c | 88.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Wichita State Shockers | 35c | 78.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Wichita State Shockers | 32c | 72.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 63c | 62.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 78c | 55.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Wichita State Shockers | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wichita State Shockers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Wichita State Shockers | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 62c | 32.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsthis page
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-3.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-4.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-5.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 155.5Under won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.