Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8512a7b896f67fc29708d2238175bd8d4e81beb488e5e6b222b2f18d9bb2f3ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlantic Owlsof Florida Atlantic Owls, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 328,736$170,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,717.12 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 152,199$73,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,077.7 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 151,083$73,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,001.08 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 17,017$9,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,888.93 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 4,819$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.19 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 2,954$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.27 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 46c | 1,680$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 49c | 998$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 49c | 462.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 392.16$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 384.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 262.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 248.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 191.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 143.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 143.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 100.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 65.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 28.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-4.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-5.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic Owls won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 155.5Under won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.