Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e88d6f09736c08aa4b535edfeb4a44baa89eda457f8d67d5d64f45cdfac1e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof Texas State Bobcats, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas State Bobcats | 42c | 11,105$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.07 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 4,896$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 57c | 4,790$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.64 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 3,780$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.49 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 2,769$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.73 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 62c | 2,476$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.43 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Texas State Bobcats | 36c | 1,443$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.38 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas State Bobcats | 37c | 1,034$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas State Bobcats | 41c | 903.19$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.31 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 858.94$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Texas State Bobcats | 33c | 716.36$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Texas State Bobcats | 27c | 676$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas State Bobcats | 32c | 590.46$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 549.13$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…657ebacked Texas State Bobcats | 44c | 398.48$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.65 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Texas State Bobcats | 45c | 331$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Texas State Bobcats | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas State Bobcats | 16c | 268$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Texas State Bobcats | 41c | 255$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas State Bobcats | 39c | 253$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Texas State Bobcats | 27c | 252.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas State Bobcats | 45c | 235.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 63c | 234.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas State Bobcats | 42c | 227.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 198$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 61c | 193.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 78c | 190.23$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas State Bobcats | 34c | 188.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Texas State Bobcats | 37c | 184.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Texas State Bobcats | 42c | 122.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Texas State Bobcats | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 58c | 102.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Texas State Bobcats | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Texas State Bobcats | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Texas State Bobcats | 41c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 53c | 70.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 61c | 68.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Texas State Bobcats | 39c | 65.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 47c | 62.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 50c | 61.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Texas State Bobcats | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Texas State Bobcats | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas State Bobcats | 40c | 47.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 61c | 33.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Texas State Bobcats | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas State Bobcats | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Texas State Bobcats | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Texas State Bobcats | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Texas State Bobcats | 39c | 28.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Texas State Bobcats | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesthis page
- Spread: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-5.5)Southern Miss Golden Eagles won
- Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.