College Football · resolved market
Utah vs. Baylor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7771596ef4783e2347db728c3fe97a7d8f187449196a98aa6175e63fc74a5e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Baylor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Baylor | 24c | 15,982$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.62 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah | 76c | 12,631$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.44 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baylor | 11c | 5,732$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.37 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Baylor | 9c | 5,269$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah | 76c | 5,122$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.25 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Baylor | 7c | 3,380$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Baylor | 7c | 3,002$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Baylor | 24c | 2,980$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.2 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Utah | 76c | 2,936$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Baylor | 23c | 2,654$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.89 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor | 23c | 2,342$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.09 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baylor | 24c | 2,006$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.23 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Utah | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Baylor | 27c | 1,800$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.79 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Baylor | 24c | 1,773$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.62 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Baylor | 24c | 1,695$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.8 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…f204backed Baylor | 26c | 1,664$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…c9d9backed Utah | 74c | 1,645$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Baylor | 27c | 1,643$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Baylor | 5c | 1,499$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah | 76c | 1,095$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Utah | 73c | 1,087$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.49 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Baylor | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah | 74c | 839$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah | 74c | 800.49$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Utah | 76c | 796.42$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 76c | 669$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Baylor | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah | 80c | 538.84$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baylor | 8c | 472$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baylor | 17c | 467.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Baylor | 23c | 435.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Baylor | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Baylor | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Utah | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Utah | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Utah | 77c | 258.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Utah | 78c | 254.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Baylor | 25c | 229.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Baylor | 6c | 228.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Baylor | 26c | 222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Baylor | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Baylor | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…82c3backed Utah | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Baylor | 17c | 161.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Baylor | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Baylor | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…bf3bbacked Utah | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Utah | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Baylor | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Baylor | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Baylor | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Baylor | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Baylor | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Baylor | 23c | 97.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Utah | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Utah | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Baylor | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Baylor | 24c | 54.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…409fbacked Baylor | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…365bbacked Utah | 75c | 53.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Utah | 76c | 52.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Utah | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Utah | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Baylor | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…ff47backed Utah | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Utah | 75c | 33.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8439…76efbacked Utah | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Utah | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…7e84backed Utah | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Utah | 76c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Utah | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…a202backed Utah | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…ee02backed Utah | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6957…3d11backed Utah | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Baylorthis page
- O/U 60.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-7.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-8.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-9.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.