College Football · resolved market
Virginia vs. Duke
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6411dbf13f09e5da67bf4469728e9d68059ecc3841528347325222a1e68e982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginiaof Virginia, Duke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Duke | 62c | 35,000$21,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,799.96 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Duke | 65c | 28,678$18,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,640.65 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Virginia | 37c | 23,891$8,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,971.79 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Duke | 64c | 20,102$12,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,923.35 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Virginia | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Virginia | 35c | 19,049$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,381.86 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Duke | 60c | 16,447$9,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,827.94 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia | 36c | 13,824$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,788.55 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Virginia | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Virginia | 35c | 7,100$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.94 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Duke | 34c | 5,389$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.2 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Virginia | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duke | 4c | 3,402$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Virginia | 61c | 2,797$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.29 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duke | 65c | 2,623$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.23 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duke | 3c | 2,414$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Duke | 65c | 2,210$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.34 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Duke | 42c | 1,997$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.72 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Duke | 63c | 1,963$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.08 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Virginia | 37c | 1,800$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.4 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Duke | 44c | 1,788$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Virginia | 69c | 1,686$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.7 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia | 43c | 1,686$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.77 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…019fbacked Duke | 64c | 1,645$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Virginia | 57c | 1,485$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.42 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Virginia | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia | 34c | 1,376$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.41 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Duke | 30c | 1,270$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.19 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed Virginia | 36c | 1,255$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Duke | 61c | 1,033$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…8816backed Virginia | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Virginia | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Virginia | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Virginia | 39c | 999.93$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duke | 28c | 948.95$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Duke | 61c | 810$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia | 48c | 700$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…3851backed Virginia | 36c | 700$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Virginia | 47c | 698.8$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.71 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582d…94b7backed Duke | 64c | 689.39$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Duke | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Duke | 64c | 572$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Duke | 6c | 568.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Duke | 61c | 557.38$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Duke | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Duke | 63c | 516.86$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.83 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Virginia | 38c | 503.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.06 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Virginia | 61c | 497.8$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.26 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…1467backed Duke | 61c | 455$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Virginia | 61c | 449.28$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…0050backed Duke | 61c | 448$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Virginia | 49c | 446.94$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Virginia | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed4…3666backed Duke | 61c | 410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duke | 42c | 398.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…f204backed Virginia | 36c | 388$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…5025backed Virginia | 36c | 366$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virginia | 54c | 364$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia | 48c | 337.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Duke | 63c | 330.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.03 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…f436backed Duke | 64c | 313$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Virginia | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed Duke | 63c | 298$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7fcbacked Virginia | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…e575backed Virginia | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Virginia | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Duke | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Virginia | 38c | 263.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Virginia | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia | 50c | 234.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…a97dbacked Virginia | 37c | 222$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f6a5backed Virginia | 36c | 205$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Virginia | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Virginia | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Duke | 19c | 174.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Virginia | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…9dabbacked Virginia | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Duke | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb9…3864backed Duke | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Virginia | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Virginia | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…ea3fbacked Virginia | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Virginia | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Duke | 47c | 131.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Duke | 66c | 128.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Duke | 66c | 125.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia | 38c | 123.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Virginia | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Virginia | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Virginia | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Virginia | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Virginia | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Virginia | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Virginia | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Duke | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Duke | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Virginia | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Virginia | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia vs. Dukethis page
- O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: Duke (-3.5)Virginia won
- Spread: Duke (-4.5)Virginia won
- Spread: Duke (-5.5)Virginia won
- Spread: Duke (-6.5)Virginia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.