Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Northwestern Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe5baba0cd1024a344e2e949aa5d7bba64160b3ec68fe096a4d5780cea52d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Northwestern Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Northwestern Wildcats | 7c | 1,915$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 1,093$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.66 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…967abacked Northwestern Wildcats | 14c | 715.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 79c | 714$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 470.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 6c | 465$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 421.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northwestern Wildcats | 9c | 413.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 8c | 340.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 20c | 296.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 258$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 251.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 13c | 248.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Northwestern Wildcats | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern Wildcats | 8c | 181.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Northwestern Wildcats | 13c | 172.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…7385backed Northwestern Wildcats | 7c | 169.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Northwestern Wildcats | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Northwestern Wildcats | 23c | 142$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Northwestern Wildcats | 15c | 141.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern Wildcats | 9c | 135.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 18c | 130.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Northwestern Wildcats | 15c | 120.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern Wildcats | 13c | 99.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…8905backed Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 87.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats | 20c | 65.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…cdb2backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Northwestern Wildcatsthis page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-8.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-9.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.