Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b1fdcf2b29aefe8aaaa88a3f798cbfebae5ce070ff7f5fcc04579d7c3c98da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleersof Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, Marshall Thundering Herd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 37c | 7,654$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 3,610$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 79c | 3,049$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.98 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…5314backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 38c | 2,634$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 42c | 1,737$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.87 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 63c | 1,494$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.84 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 68c | 1,006$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 983.33$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 42c | 921.36$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.19 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 46c | 727.43$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.12 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 60c | 705.99$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.46 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 42c | 660.5$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 30c | 489.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 20c | 442.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.77 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 78c | 362.48$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 69c | 343$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 33c | 310.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 42c | 288.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 38c | 254.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 9c | 245.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 65c | 202$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 184$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 56c | 166.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 44c | 120.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 22c | 96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 87.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 33c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 23c | 81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 76c | 78.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 21c | 63.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 60c | 60.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…8f52backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 53c | 53.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 66c | 43.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 79c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 71c | 40.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 58c | 40.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 36.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 77c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…4ab1backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 79c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 37c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 79c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 38c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 62c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…c75cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…cdb2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Marshall Thundering Herdthis page
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-8.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.